The unfortunate thing about landing a high pick in a draft with good parity like the 2013 class is that it really isn’t worth much. Teams are unlikely to shell out a lot for the #2 pick with the knowledge that the talent drop off from the first few picks is a small chasm.
Late lottery picks could yield talents like Alex Len and Shabazz Muhammed, both of whom were at once considered top-5 talents.
Rob Hennigan hasn’t really fallen in love with any prospect yet, but Trey Burke offers the highest upside for Orlando for a number of reasons:
1) He is a winner: There’s something more attractive about guys who have already been successful in the NCAA. Burke shined in the tough Big Ten, then went on to lead his Wolverines to a title. Even mediocre talents like Mario Chalmers received a bump up due to great performances in the NCAA tournament
2) He fills the position of greatest need: Jameer Nelson is the oldest starter at the rip age of 31. He’s best served for a sixth man role at this point in his career. Nelson should be replaced before the other four starters, just because youth is how a team is rebuilt.
3) Jameer Nelson’s Tutelage: While Nelson isn’t exactly on legendary levels, he did succeed as a water bug point guard, and the 6’0″ Burke will face similar challenges. Neither are really a 6′ even, and Nelson stands no taller in reality than 5’9″ Yet, he’s been able to get shots off in traffic for his entire career. Burke will need that aptitude.