Feb 7, 2014; Orlando, FL, USA; Orlando Magic shooting guard Arron Afflalo (4) shoots the ball over Oklahoma City Thunder small forward Kevin Durant (35) defends during the first half at Amway Center. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

Arron Afflalo Trade Value Will Be Higher in the Off-Season

The Orlando Magic have been conspicuously absent from NBA trade rumors this month. With the second worst record in the NBA, the Magic were expected to be heavy sellers at this year’s trade deadline. Instead, they are realizing that their best trade asset, Arron Afflalo, is severely undervalued in this market climate. With at least one more year of team control, and Magic would be wise to hold off of any Arron Afflalo trade until the off-season, where more teams will bid higher for his services.

Why has the market for Afflalo been so tepid? He’s having by far the best year of his career and garnering All-Star worthy attention. Multiple playoff contenders would love to get him on their team, but aren’t willing to meet the Magic’s asking price. The realities of the chilly trade market can be explained by simple supply and demand.

Supply
This February’s trade deadline will be a buyers market because so many teams have thrown in the towel in an attempt to land a high draft pick. Even though Afflalo is the best player on the market, there’s a flood of above-average NBA talent available at much lower cost. The Philadelphia 76ers are willing to all but give Evan Turner away. The Milwaukee Bucks would trade anyone who isn’t Greek. And even Eric Gordon and Rajon Rondo may find themselves with new squads. No one’s giving up first round picks, and eventually, one of the tanking teams will buckle and trade away a productive player for pennies on the dollar.

Demand
With more teams trying to lose, there are less teams trying to win. Sounds obvious right? So many more teams are tanking this year than ever before that’s its creating a lack of demand for good players on the trade market. Fewer teams are looking to improve right now.

Acquiring a good player for a low price would actually hurt young teams angling for a high pick. That’s why this off-season is the right time for any Arron Afflalo trade. All those teams that have been trying to lose will suddenly want to start winning. They’ll want a player like Afflalo. The off-season also opens up demand through roster turnover. Free agency, trades, and retirements create shooting guard vacancies that are currently filled right now.

What do you think? Should an Arron Afflalo trade happen now or in the off-season? Let us know in the comments section below. Want more Orlando Magic news? Sign up for our newsletter.

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