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Democrats: Solid opposition to Trump, but what comes next?

18 April 2017
Democrats: Solid opposition to Trump, but what comes next?

Companies and investors have been eagerly awaiting an overhaul to the US tax system that the administration has promised will lower corporate taxes and make it easier to bring money back from overseas. He also told the Wall Street Journal that he will not release the White House plan for tax reform-the next item on the GOP's agenda and where congressional Republican leaders have shifted their attention-until an Obamacare repeal bill is passed.

Stephen Moore, a Heritage Foundation economist who was involved in crafting Trump's campaign tax plan, has argued that Congress should quickly pass a bill that includes business tax cuts and an infrastructure fund and tackle tax changes for individuals later.

Before the election, Trump inked a "contract with the American voter" saying he'd work with Congress to present an ambitious tax reform plan within the first 100 days of his presidency. "We're not in a position to say what's in and what's out, and it's a little premature to discuss that at this point". "If you don't do that you can't put any of the savings into the tax cuts and the tax reform". That would effectively replace the employer side of the payroll tax with a different tax on the cost of hiring people. Buying a house, paying for child care, paying for college, and saving for retirement are all likely to become too expensive for middle class people to afford, and instead start turning into expensive luxuries for the wealthiest Americans. "We haven't made a determination as to public/private".

Finally, what about Social Security?

But the federal government doesn't "save" money the way households or businesses do because ultimately it controls the currency in which it spends and borrows. "This could well prove another instance in which Congress can't fill the vacuum without Trump's leadership".

Trump, who brands himself as a deal-maker, has not said which trade-offs he might accept and he has remained noncommittal on the leading blueprint, from Rep. Kevin Brady, chairman of the Ways and Means Committee. It's estimated to raise $1 trillion in revenue over a decade.

Of course, there are a few complications here to. The BAT does not have enough support even among Republicans, and it would violate World Trade Organisation rules. For example, he was circumspect when asked about a controversial feature of the House GOP tax overhaul plan, called a border adjustment tax. This would be a tax penalty levied on all energy sources that produce CO2, in an effort to discourage carbon emissions and encourage clean energy use.

America's Health Insurance Plans, the American Medical Association, Blue Cross Blue Shield Association and the American Academy of Family Physicians were among eight organizations that penned a letter to Trump.

"Markets, that have been expecting tax reform movement and action earlier in the year, based in part on administration and congressional statements, may be disappointed on this news and react accordingly", said Terry Haines, an analyst with Evercore ISI. Your business sense - probably along with your attorneys and accountants - is telling you to avoid subjecting your tax information to double-jeopardy scrutiny by the public and IRS. As his paper lays out, the real correlation is between higher taxes on wealthy people and corporations and economic growth. It's Stephen Bannon, the reactionary nationalist on Trump's team, who opposes it - and Bannon's star is reportedly waning.

Trump has repeatedly threatened to let Obamacare fall apart in order to force Democrats to negotiate with him. "We don't know his foreign entanglements, and whether he even pays any taxes at all", said Delvone Michael, a senior political strategist for the Working Families Party and Tax March Executive Committee member.