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Mary Anne Marsh: Midterm elections -- Why Democrats have high hopes for Tuesday

07 November 2018
Mary Anne Marsh: Midterm elections -- Why Democrats have high hopes for Tuesday

To help break down three possible outcomes, we've brought in some experts - Real Clear Politics White House correspondent Sally Persons and Kyle Kondik, managing editor of Sabato's Crystal Ball at University of Virginia Center for Politics.

And just look at how wide the playing field is - Democrats need to pick up 23 seats to take back the House, and they are targeting some 80 Republican-held seats.

The GOP has held majorities in the House since 2011 and the Senate since 2015, and has had unified control of both elective branches of the federal government since January 2017.

The party of a first-term president tends to lose congressional seats in his first midterm.

Donald Trump said on Monday (Nov 5) he wished he had taken a softer tone in his first two years as USA president, even as he continued to bash individual Democrats and fan fears over immigration while campaigning on the eve of congressional elections.

As much as the President will be celebrating, Kyle Kondik says he will also be relieved. Republicans lost 30 House seats under President George W. Bush in 2006, and 48 House seats under President Gerald Ford in 1974. Americans for Tax Reforms reports that at least 47 major companies have announced that their corporate tax cuts have allowed them to raise their workers' minimum wages to $15 per hour or higher.

"For an 18-year incumbent to even have that little bit of tightening, I think it shows that there is some undercurrent in the state that probably wasn't there prior to the Trump victory", said Mr. Yoon, who is also a visiting professor of journalism at the University of MI. This congressional seat has been held by Republicans for 50 years. The Democrats would have to score a net gain of two seats to claim control, although analysts are predicting the Republicans are more likely to hang onto their majority or even add to it.

"There are a couple of honest polls, ' he snarked, remarking that they provide Republicans with a 'very, very good promise" for Tuesday.

Hispanics nationwide, according to a Reuters/Ipsos national tracking poll released on Sunday, are more interested in voting this year than in the last us congressional midterm elections in 2014, and their enthusiasm outpaces that of all usa adults.

He said he's felt an extraordinary level of enthusiasm for this election among his fellow students.

"My guess is they would find things that would paint the President in a negative light".

"We're winning everything we're doing", he said.

"In order to win, you have to do what Trump did", Mr.

Indeed, powerful Democratic forces are already pushing for Trump's impeachment, even if Democratic leaders aren't ready to go that far.

Such victories would build momentum behind the party's shift toward a new generation of candidates who are younger, more diverse, with greater numbers of women and more liberal than Democratic leadership.

If Democrats take control of one house, the Republicans will struggle to get legislation passed.

"In view of analysts at ING, Tuesday's USA mid-term elections will have a major say over where the dollar trades for the rest of the year". For his largely white, conservative Christian supporters, Trump can do little wrong, and the undeniable uptick in the economy has overcome whatever little reservations they may have had about his personal foibles.

"What the President might say, or tweet, or attribute this blue wave to ..."

There is no option C - and the people of America will make that decision. Mr Trump's approval rating is a dismal 42%. Republican Sen. Bob Corker is retiring and the open seat is a contest between former Democratic Gov. Phil Bredesen and Republican U.S. Rep. Marcia Blackburn.

The State of NY has two seats in the Senate and only one is up for election on Tuesday. I always say you can disagree but you don't have to be disagreeable.